Technical | Fundamental Analysis Discussion Stocks Listed In Bursa

Showing posts with label Recommendation. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Recommendation. Show all posts

Saturday, November 15, 2008




5056 ENGTEX By Zhuge Liang


Bollinger Mid Band & Rising Volume Support
:
#1 Bollinger Middle Band : ENGTEX prices breakout Bollinger Mid Band in late Oct 08 and stayed consistently above, Therefore the Mid BB act as the immediate price support. Next support seen @83 sen.

#2 Rising Volume : ENGTEX prices consistent with the rising monthly average. The present traded volume is only about 50% of the price drops further 2 months back. Any additional volume will bring prices to immediated target 93 sen. Next target seen RM1.00

MACD & Stochastics : Faltering somewhat due to weak mkt sentuments but neverheless still in bullish mode.

What went most unnoticed about ENGTEX prices are the obvious support off low prices.

How many RED candles do you see from the ENGTEX charts for the past 10 sessions? NONE ..... therefore supporting ZL's observations in the stock low prices support. Whenever ENGTEX open below previous closing price, buying support prevent any severe price discrepancies in this stock. Since Red candles denote bearishness, what about ENGTEX's greenies? Naturally it is a healthy issue.

Support...............0.83 / 75 / 70
Resistance.......... 0.95 / 1.00 / 1.20

Cutloss................ 0.68 sen

Target................. 0.93 / 98 / 1.18

Recommendations : Buy on dip towards target 1.00 >>> 1.20


综合指数 2008年 11月 14日 By Zhuge Liang


如图中箭头A所示,综合指数一度上探887点的胜图自动费氏线的阻力,惟综指最终还是未能突破此阻力水平,这表示887点继续的成为综指接下来的阻力线。综指当前的支持水平则落在800点的胜图自动费氏线,而T2这下降趋势线也有望成为综指的动态支持线。

如图所示,布林频带(Bollinger Band)收窄23%,这表示综指目前依然是处于一个横摆巩固的格局里。一般上,综指将继续的处于这巩固的走势,直到布林频带重新开始打开为止。

如图中箭头B所示,马股成交量增加18.6%,使到成交量再度超越40天成交量移动平均线(VMA),这表示并不是所有的投资者都作壁上观,市场还是有一定的交投量。

如图中C圈所示,随机指标(Stochastic)跌破了30%的水平,这意味综指的短期走势还是属于弱势中。无论如何,由于布林频带目前是属于收窄中,这意味这综指并未确认形成一个短期跌势,因为当布林频带收窄时,随机指标的讯号只是反映短期走势的情绪,综指是要等待布林频带重新打开,我们才能确定综指新趋势的方向。

总的来说,目前综指将继续的维持在横摆巩固,酝酿着一个新的趋势,通常综指横摆越久,综指在布林频带打开是的爆发力就越大。


Composite Index Daily Technical Analysis 14/11/2008 by Zhuge Liang

As indicated by A, the KLCI tested the 887 WinChart Automatic Fibonacci Retracement on Friday, but failed to break above the 887 level, and therefore, the 887 resistance remains intact. Support for the KLCI is at 800 Fibonacci Retracement, while the T2 line is the dynamic support for the KLCI.

As shown on the chart, the Bollinger Bands Width is still contracting (-23%), suggesting the KLCI is still in its consolidation stage. Generally, as the Bollinger Bands Width contracts, the market direction is unclear. In other words, the KLCI is gearing for a new direction, and the new direction shall be revealed once the Bollinger Bands Width re-expands.

As indicated by B, total market volume increased 18.6%, with the volume returned to above 40-day VMA level. This shows that the market participation is still at a healthy level.

As circled at C, the Stochastic breaks below 30% level by margin, suggesting the KLCI is turning weaker. But since the Bollinger Bands Width is still contracting, the signals from the secondary indicator are usually less significant.

In short, the KLCI is still at consolidation, while preparing for a new move. Generally, the longer the consolidation, the expansion of the Bollinger Bands Width signal would be clearer, thus producing a more precise signal for the new direction.

HAPPY TRADING & GOODLUCK2ALL

Thursday, November 13, 2008

KNM 7164

Stock Reviews & Commentaries By Zhuge Liang

KNM shares were sold down to extreme lows of 39sen and 41.5sen on 16 and 28 October respectively, before bouncing back to build immediate support above 60sen (IS) this month. In spite of the overbought daily slow stochastics signal, recent strength has improved upside momentum, as reflected by the positive daily MACD indicator. A strong close above the 30-day SMA (80sen) will boost upside towards the immediate downtrend resistance lines at the 90sen immediate target (IT). Next target is RM1.00


Support level IS RM0.67

S1 RM0.60


Stop-Loss Below SL RM0.55

Upside Target IT RM0.90
T1 RM1.00
T2 RM1.15

RECOMMENDATION :
Buy On Dip for rebound to 90 sen target.

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Composite Index Daily Technical Analysis 12/11/2008

On Wednesday, the KLCI ended 4.26 points lower as drag by the negative performance of the Dow Jones and regional markets. As indicated by A, the KLCI is now precisely supported at the Bollinger Middle Band, which is the dynamic support for the KLCI. Resistance for the KLCI is still at 940 Fibonacci Retracement.

As shown on the chart, the Bollinger Bands Width contracted 14%, suggesting the KLCI is still in its consolidation stage, and the market direction is still unclear.

As indicated by B, total market volume declined 33%, but volume is still above the 40-day VMA level. Generally, the overall market participation is still healthy. However, if the KLCI should continue its sideways consolidation, a decline of volume is usually normal.

As circled at C, the Stochastic breaks below 70% level, suggesting an end to the short term bullish movement. If the Stochastic should failed to return to above 70% level, the short term movement for the KLCI is likely to turn weak.

In short, the KLCI is consolidating now, thus the short term bullish movement has ended. At the moment, we are still waiting for the Bollinger Bands Width expansion signal, which would mark a beginning of a new movement, and we shall be able to determine the new direction for the KLCI with its position above or below the Bollinger Middle Band when the Bollinger Bands Width re-expands.



综合指数 2008年 11月 12日

亚太股市继续受到美国道琼斯指数下滑的拖累而下挫,综合指数也受到影响,这使到综指滑落4.26点。如图中箭头A所示,综指精确的在887点的胜图自动费氏线获得支持,这是综指当前的支持水平,阻力水平则依然是940点的胜图自动费氏线。

如图所示,布林频带(Bollinger Band)收窄14%,这表示综指目前继续的处于一个横摆巩固的格局里,通常综指将会一直维持在此趋势,直到布林频带再度明显的打开为止。

如图中箭头B所示,马股成交量减低33%,惟成交量还是成功的维持在40天成交量移动平均线(VMA)以上,这意味市场还是相当的活跃。不过若综指持续出现横摆或布林频带继续收窄的话,那成交量跌破40天平均值是正常的。

如图中C圈所示,随机指标(Stochastic)跌破了70%的水平,这显示综指的短期走势有出现转弱的迹象。换句话说,若随机指标短期内未能回弹至70%的话,那综指的短期走势将有继续走软的可能。

总的来说,综指目前出现横摆巩固的格局,所以综指的短期讯号显示综指上扬的趋势暂时结束了。通常在这情形下,我们都会等待布林频带再度打开,因为在布林频带再度打开时,综指将结束目前的横摆的僵局,而出现新的趋势,惟新的趋势将由届时综指处于布林中频带的位置来决定。

HAPPY TRADING FOLKS & GOODLUCK2ALL