Technical | Fundamental Analysis Discussion Stocks Listed In Bursa

Showing posts with label Like. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Like. Show all posts

Monday, October 19, 2015

'Like' - KMLoong

Monday, October 19, 2015 0 Comments
To cushion against the volatility of CPO prices, some plantation companies have diversified into the more stable milling business. One such company is Kim Loong.
 
The Johor-based company trades at a relatively undemanding P/E of 13.3 times and 1.6 times book (16 Oct 2015). It has net cash of RM248.1 million or 79.7 sen per share, which translates to 28.4% of its RM874.6 million valuation (16 Oct 2015).

Because of its stable milling business, Kim Loong is able to consistently pay dividends. Since FY2011, its payout ratio has ranged from 50-70% of net profits. The company paid a special dividend of 10 sen per share in August 2015, bringing total dividends to 23 sen in the past 12 months.

Kim Loong owns 14,901ha of planted oil palm land in Johor, Sabah and Sarawak. 91.1% of its trees are mature and should provide stable fresh fruit bunch (FFB) output moving forward. Its three mills processed 1.2 million tonnes of FFB in FY-Jan2015 — 3.9 times what the company’s estates produced. The mills also boast an above-average oil extraction rate of 22.4%.

For 1HFY2016, Kim Loong’s profit before tax (PBT) from its upstream activities slumped 41.7% y-o-y to RM24.4 million on the back of lower FFB prices. However, PBT from milling was steady at RM27.1 million compared to RM27.3 million in the previous year.

This highlights the defensive nature of Kim Loong’s business model. In addition, it should also benefit if the rally in CPO prices (Sept – Oct 2015) is sustainable.

Moving forward, Kim Loong plans to develop 2,067ha of land into oil palm plantation in Sarawak pending approval from the state. Construction of a fourth mill should be completed by 2017, which will boost its milling capacity by 300,000 tonnes a year.


Friday, June 20, 2014

*Updated chart



Ho Hup is currently (19 June 2014) trading at only 4.2 times implied forward PER, cheaper than that of its peers’ average PER of 7.1 times.


Its stock price is undervalued judging from its bright prospects driven by its property division’s crown jewel project in Bukit Jalil.

Its property division will recognize a portion of its JV project on a 50 acre tract in 1QFY2014. Nonetheless, due to the timing of approvals for the project’s new plan and design, ti will only start to contribute from 2QFY2014 onwards.

However a shortfall will definitely be made up in 2015.

Ho Hup’s Bukit Jalil City project with Malton Bhd comprises shop offices, serviced apartments, and shopping mall. It will be officially launched by end of 2014. The group is currently (June 2014) revising the design and plan of the project which will result in a higher GDV to rm4.5 billion.

Assuming the project’s GDV is rm4 billion and based on agreement that Ho Hup is entitled to 18% of the GDV, on average estimate that the project will contribute about rm45 million per annum in net profit throughout the 10 years period of development.

Details of the 50 acres development in Bukit Jalil dubbed Pavilion 2 to be co developed by Ho Hup and Malton will be out by third quarter of 2014.

The project will be the growth driver for Ho Hup.

While the 50 acre piece is for the JV with Malton, Ho Hup has actually started development an adjacent 10 acre on its own, with a GDV of rm10 billion.

On its construction arm, the gorup’s order book stood at rm400 million.

The group is looking to replenish its land bank.

It had ventured into property and construction projects in Myanmar.

After rejuvenated, the company is back in business.

Going forward, observers see clarity in Ho Hup’s earnings visibility as the group is on a clean state to expand and focus on its property development business. A healthy balance sheet following its restructuring exercise puts Ho Hup in a favourable position to build a portfolio of development projects for future growth.