Technical | Fundamental Analysis Discussion Stocks Listed In Bursa

Thursday, February 26, 2015

FGV ... Why SellDown !!!

Thursday, February 26, 2015 0 Comments
Share price dropped was due to group’s disappointing quarter.

Observers maintained their bleak outlook on the group’s performance, stating that the downstream segment remained a challenge. The weaker fourth-quarter earnings was attributed to lower plantation and downstream contributions.

Its outlook remains bleak due to poor quarterly results and potential removal from the FTSE Bursa Malaysia KL Composite Index due to its lower market capitalisation.

Turnaround is unlikely in the near term and financial year 2015 (FY15) and FY16 forecast earnings were reduced mainly attributing its weak performance to the loss-making downstream segment due to negative refined, bleached and deodorised and margins, while upstream lacked lustre on low production and prices.

Its bleak outlook remains unless FGV can boost net profit via earnings-accretive acquisitions and extract synergy from its previous acquisitions.

Every RM100 per tonne change in crude palm oil prices could affect its earnings by 4%-6% per annum.

Thursday, February 12, 2015

The index was likely dragged down by the plunged in Tenaga share price as TNB is one of its component stocks. TNB stock price were dogged (11 Feb 2015) by negative sentiment on concerns that its earnings would be affected by the lower electricity tariff.

Other sources have confirmed that a letter to that effect has been sent to 1MDB, which has been negotiating a loan with tycoon T. Ananda Krishnan to repay the debt. It is not known if the bllionaire has agreed to provide the loan. EOD is an action or circumstance that causes a lender to demand full repayment of an outstanding balance sooner than it was originally due.

At the global markets, investor worries over the outcome of euro zone ministerial meetings about Greece's debt crisis, while oil prices dropped for a second day on more signs of oversupply.

Tuesday, February 3, 2015

Results:
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Quarter 1 2015 FKLI/FCPO Results :
FKLI :
Trade 48/14 -> +75.5
Trade 1/Q1/15 -> +39
Trade 2/Q1/15 -> +11.5
Trade 3/Q1/15 -> +14
Trade 4/Q1/15 -> -19.5 (+120.5)
Trade 5/Q1/15 -> -19
Trade 6/Q1/15 -> -34.5
Trade 7/Q1/15 -> -12
Trade 8/Q1/15 -> -31.5
Trade 9/Q1/15 -> +55 (+78.5)
Trade 10/Q1/15 -> -47
Trade 11/Q1/15 -> -25.5
Trade 12/Q1/15 -> +40.5

January 2015 ==> +46.5
Trade 13/Q1/15 -> L1777.5
FCPO:
Trade 1/Q1/15 -> -105
Trade 2/Q1/15 -> +107
Trade 3/Q1/15 -> -51
Trade 4/Q1/15 -> +62
January 2015 ==> +13
Trade 5/Q1/15 -> S2340
---------------------------------------------------------
2014
FKLI
September = +127
October = +69
November = +28
December = +336

Total 127+69+28 = +224

September 2014
Trade 01/14 -> +34
Trade 02/14 -> +8
Trade 03/14 -> -12
Trade 04/14 -> +45
Trade 05/14 -> +1 Total so far (+76)
Trade 06/14 -> -6
Trade 07/14 -> -9
Trade 08/14 -> +1
Trade 09/14 -> +23
Trade 10/14 -> +23 Total so far (+108)
Trade 11/14 -> +3
Trade 12/14 -> -10.5
Trade 13/14 -> +26.5 TOTAL SEPT 14 (+127)
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
FKLI October 2014
Trade 14/14 -> +19.5
Trade 15/14 -> -9
Trade 16/14 -> +33
Trade 17/14 -> -19
Trade 18/14 -> +31.5 Total so far (+56)
Trade 19/14 -> -30
Trade 20/14 -> -15
Trade 21/14 -> -39
Trade 22/14 -> +35
Trade 23/14 -> +37 Total so far (+44)
Trade 24/14 -> -27
Trade 25/14 -> +25.5
Trade 26/14 -> -6
Trade 27/14 -> +8
Trade 28/14-> -12 Total so far (+32.5)
Trade 29/14 -> +36.5 Total October (+69)

127+69= +196

-------------------------------------------------------------------------------
FKLI November 2014
Trade 30/14 -> -15
Trade 31/14 -> -12
Trade 32/14 -> +29.5
Trade 33/14 -> -37.5
Trade 34/14 -> +23 Total so far => -16
Trade 35/14 -> -4
Trade 36/14 -> -2
Trade 37/14 -> +24
Trade 38/14 -> +12
Trade 39/14 -> +30 Total so far => +44
November -> -16+44 = +28

FKLI December
Trade 40/14 -> +86.5
Trade 41/14 -> +12
Trade 42/14 -> +52.5
Trade 43/14 -> +33.5
Trade 44/14 -> +74 Total so far = +258.5
Trade 45/14 -> +70.5
Trade 46/14 -> -34.5
Trade 47/14 -> +26.5
Trade 48/14 -> +15

Total Dec = +336

Total Sep 2014 to Dec 2014 = +560

========================================

FCPO
September = +49
October = -68
November = +306
December = +426

Total 49-68+306 = +287

September 2014
Trade 01/14 -> +92
Trade 02/14 -> -30
Trade 03/14 -> +113
Trade 04/14 -> -126 TOTAL SEPT 14 (+49)
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------
FCPO October 2014
Trade 05/14 -> +115
Trade 06/14 -> -30
Trade 07/14 -> -36
Trade 08/14 -> -81
Trade 09/14 -> -108 Total so far (-140)
Trade 10/14 -> +72 Total October = -68

49-68 = -19

------------------------------------------------------------------------------
FCPO November 2014
Trade 11/14 -> +165
Trade 12/14 -> +86
Trade 13/14 -> +59
Trade 14/14 -> +32
Trade 15/14 -> +24 Total so far => +366
Trade 16/14 -> -30
Trade 17/14 -> -30
Total November = +306
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
December
Trade 18/14 -> +139
Trade 19/14 -> +68
Trade 20/14 -> +62
Trade 21/14 -> +157

Total Dec = +426

Total Sept 2014 to Dec 2014 = +713

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